Last week wasn’t the greatest, but continues to be profitable as my “locks” made a come back.
Looking for a strong showing this week, and there appear to be a lot of “solid” bets to make. Tread carefully of course because you are useless to me if you can’t afford internet service anymore and your PC gets repo’d. Play it safe and play all of my picks…it’s been working so far.
Last week: 9-7 Locks: 2-0 Season: 29-19 Season Locks: 3-2
Raiders vs Texans Over 42
The Texans have the ability to put points on the board. Admittedly, the Raiders defense is under rated but I see Schaub and company putting up 30 on the Raiders. Jamarcus Russell should be able to hand the ball off enough to his talented backfield to cover the rest of the over.
Patriots -1.5 vs Ravens
Tough game to pick. Ravens defense is not as good as it has been, but all eyes will continue to be on Brady to see if he can get it back together for a solid game. The Patriots defense has been a bright spot and should give the offense time to get going. This will be a statement game for the Patriots, against a team many are already proclaiming to be the best in the NFL.
Giants -9 vs Chiefs
Giants will control the game and the clock and rattle Cassel whenever they please. Large spread but look for the Giants D to continue their dominant streak.
Buccaneers +7 vs Redskins
Both teams are absolutely terrible, and the Redskins should come out fired up after being embarrassed by the Lions last week. If the Bucs can keep it close in the first half, they could very well win this game outright.
Bengals -5.5 vs Browns
The Browns are my vote for worst team in the league. Not only do they lack talent, but they hate their coach. Absolute disaster. The Bengals have been a pleasant surprise and should roll here.
Jets vs Saints OVER 45
Tough game to pick with the line so I’ll take the over. It’s a big over to hit, but I’m still not sold on the Jets defense. Drew Brees should be able to find time and put together a good game. On the other side of the field Mark Sanchez has shown a lot of poise and should also be able to keep his team in the game.
Bills -2 vs Dolphins
While the Dolphins were never really about who played quarterback, and relied heavily on the run game and gimmick plays (wildcat). The loss of Pennington will hurt a bit. He was a very efficient quarterback and didn’t make costly mistakes. Not sure if Henne can provide the same. I just hope this game isn’t on TV.
Rams +9.5 vs 49ers
49ers will be without Frank Gore, it won’t slow them down all that much, but look for the Rams to control the game on the ground and keep this one close.
Cowboys -3 vs Broncos
The Broncos are over rated. Don’t get me wrong with this, but the Cowboys DO play in a tough division. They still have the offense to put up big points even with a backfield that is in pain. They should be able to handle this one.
Chargers +6.5 vs Steelers
The Steelers are reeling, and may not be as good as we thought they were. The Chargers defense continues to be suspect, but their offense is able to score from anywhere on the field, while the Steelers are not. If the Steelers cannot get a running game together the Chargers will be able to keep this close.
Packers +3.5 vs Vikings
Everyone will be watching this game. Brett Favre vs his old team. Favre now playing for their bitter division Rivals. The Vikings are good, and the Packers haven’t shown too much, but Aaron Rodgers should be able to carry his team to victory here.
Really, I just like the whole emotional factor that Green Bay should be running on. I love that stuff.
Lock of the week:
Lions vs Bears OVER 39
Everyone knows I hate Jay Cutler, but he may become a fixture in my lock section. Neither teams defense is very good, and both offenses are developing. Look for both teams to put up 40+ combined.
Titans -3 vs Jaguars
Both teams are very good rushing teams, but I’ll give the edge to the Titans in the passing game and on defense, enough so that they should cover the 3 points.