BlueDuckSports resident Draft experts, Alex and Andy, provided their take on the 2009 NFL Draft last year ( Picks 1-10, 11-21, 22-32). In preparation for next week’s NFL Draft, let’s take a look back on their success rate and how they stacked up against the mainstream “experts”:
Player pick accuracy (expert accuracy as reported by TheBigLead):
Mike Mayock (NFL Network): 10-32
Mel Kiper: 9-32
National Football Post: 9-32
Don Banks (SI): 7-32
The kid who claimed to have beaten Kiper in year’s past: 7-32
Todd McShay 6-32
Peter King 6-32
Not too bad for a couple of schmucks from CT. Especially considering that BlueDuck’s mock took place during the first week of April (3 weeks before the official draft) and the “experts” mocks were their final mocks made only days before the draft. No doubt we’d have done better if we waited to conduct our draft immediately before.
An interesting note, out of the 32 picks in the first round, we were extremely accurate with picking the correct position a team would pick, regardless of the exact player. In this regard, Alex got 14-32 correct, while Andy got 11-32 correct. Using this way of looking at it might make up for the fact that trades were made and the near-draft hype of some players (like DHB to Oakland) weren’t taken into account when our choices were made three weeks early.
Check back later in the week for BlueDuck’s annual Mock Draft and see if we can beat the “experts”.